Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.247643 0.279784 0.313928 0.352836 0.395881 0.441981 0.495022
2025-08-24 0.203315 0.246377 0.294879 0.353336 0.421644 0.498697 0.591940
2025-08-31 0.171067 0.220397 0.278850 0.352749 0.443164 0.549635 0.683902
2025-09-07 0.150300 0.204474 0.271601 0.360069 0.472669 0.610187 0.789708
2025-09-14 0.131067 0.187571 0.260534 0.360414 0.492144 0.658349 0.882057
2025-09-21 0.115614 0.173429 0.250986 0.360896 0.510597 0.705055 0.973991
2025-09-28 0.102928 0.161375 0.242616 0.361491 0.528236 0.750633 1.065811
2025-10-05 0.093770 0.153154 0.238439 0.366924 0.552006 0.804771 1.170860
2025-10-12 0.087129 0.147807 0.237616 0.376574 0.581629 0.867706 1.290184
2025-10-19 0.079764 0.140478 0.233040 0.380028 0.602052 0.918214 1.393887
2025-10-26 0.074340 0.135593 0.231582 0.387713 0.628643 0.978191 1.513029
2025-11-02 0.070265 0.132446 0.232426 0.398707 0.660407 1.046635 1.646751
2025-11-09 0.063556 0.124372 0.225046 0.396723 0.672932 1.088391 1.744987
2025-11-16 0.057877 0.117478 0.218971 0.396270 0.687599 1.133797 1.850410
2025-11-23 0.052688 0.110890 0.212798 0.395070 0.700763 1.177206 1.954319
2025-11-30 0.049504 0.107664 0.212088 0.402841 0.728641 1.244328 2.096991
2025-12-07 0.045475 0.102371 0.207240 0.403052 0.743837 1.291875 2.210746
2025-12-14 0.041883 0.097533 0.202769 0.403491 0.759218 1.340068 2.327024
2025-12-21 0.038662 0.093084 0.198610 0.404095 0.774706 1.388802 2.445663
2025-12-28 0.036392 0.090369 0.197483 0.410053 0.799627 1.453794 2.592705
2026-01-04 0.034838 0.089021 0.198861 0.420667 0.833143 1.534196 2.767575
2026-01-11 0.032653 0.086036 0.196745 0.424462 0.854503 1.594759 2.911464
2026-01-18 0.031115 0.084346 0.197079 0.432918 0.884603 1.671161 3.084201